Scientists Predict the Next President

saltwn · #1 (**permalink**) 09-20-2008, 01:53 AM

Quote:

Two mathematicians have devised what they say is a "surprisingly effective" means to predict the outcome of the U.S. presidential election using median statistics based on voter polling.

Colley is nationally known for his computer modeling system used in determining college football rankings by the NCAA, and his new system has Barack Obama ahead of John McCain.

Before the Obama supporters start breaking out the champagne, however, they should be aware of new research from the Maryland-based Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS), the world's largest society for operations research professionals.

Using a methodology that "applies a mathematical model of state polling data, using a dynamic programming algorithm to forecast electoral results," INFORMS has McCain ahead by as many as 27 electoral votes (282.8 votes for McCain, 255.2 for Obama). Scientists Predict the Next President | LiveScience

Well that makes sense.

cnredd · #2 (**permalink**) 09-20-2008, 03:49 PM

I NEVER buy into this stuff...

Predictors will ALWAYS be wrong at some point and the next president will be the FIRST at this or the FIRST at that...

In 2004 a whole bunch of people were saying the election was based on whether or not the Washington Redskins won or lost a certain home game...THAT'S petty pathetic...

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode