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Polls Discuss As it currently stands... at the General Forum; Originally Posted by Dave1 Damn, you still got that good refer huh....... Please, you're on your own island with that ...

Poll: Who do you think will win the election this year?
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Who do you think will win the election this year?

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  #31 (permalink)  
Old 10-18-2012, 02:15 PM
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Default Re: As it currently stands...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave1 View Post
Damn, you still got that good refer huh.......


Please, you're on your own island with that non sense. Romney is ahead not behind and were only two weeks out with one debate left.....

Obama is not as strong as an average incumbent and the country is looking for more change....

Don't bet the farm sweetheart.....
You need a place to live......
You should know by now national polls don't amount to anything but noise. This race will ultimately be decided by the electoral college, where Obama has the decided advantage. he's currently leading in Ohio, Colorado, and Iowa... He needs two of those to put him over 270...

Better bet the farm.. Willard will lose .
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  #32 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2012, 12:17 AM
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Default Re: As it currently stands...

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Originally Posted by Xcali View Post
You should know by now national polls don't amount to anything but noise. This race will ultimately be decided by the electoral college, where Obama has the decided advantage. he's currently leading in Ohio, Colorado, and Iowa... He needs two of those to put him over 270...

Better bet the farm.. Willard will lose .
I don't know about that...

Let's check the electoral map first.

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House State Changes

I'd say with weeks to go and considering Mitt's got the momentum he's looking pretty good right now, even with skewed polls.
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  #33 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2012, 12:49 PM
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Default Re: As it currently stands...

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I don't know about that...

Let's check the electoral map first.

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House State Changes

I'd say with weeks to go and considering Mitt's got the momentum he's looking pretty good right now, even with skewed polls.
Better check again.. Go back to RCP here...
RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map No Toss Ups

And click on "no Toss Ups".. Notice how Obama wins when you factor in his leads in key states...

The battle for the White house has become the Battle for Ohio.. and Willard is behind in Ohio... that's not momentum....
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  #34 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2012, 04:09 PM
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Default Re: As it currently stands...

OK I checked again, and factored in Momentum.

Quote:
We are at a turning point in the presidential race. For the first time today Mitt Romney leads in the RealClearPolitics electoral college averaging of polls by a 206-201 margin. In the Gallup 7-day tracking poll Romney went ahead by 7 points, suggesting that the vice presidential debate (Oct. 11) was, if anything, a positive for the GOP ticket. There is so far nothing to show that the second presidential debate on Oct. 16 slowed Romney down.

On the state level he is ahead in Florida, North Carolina and a number of Virginia and Colorado polls. Obama’s big leads in Wisconsin, Ohio, Iowa, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Minnesota are or have evaporated.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/...b829_blog.html

Now you check again on the No Tossups - State Changes link.

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - State Changes

Add them to today's.

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map No Toss Ups

Who's got the momentum?

We could also argue enthusiasm, but we'd never agree there, would we? I know Republicans have the enthusiasm edge, and you think Democrats do.
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  #35 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2012, 04:18 PM
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Default Re: As it currently stands...

Want some desperate hope though XCali? I don't know if you would have seen this. I saw it on a right wing blog.

Somebody is promising another "October Surprise". They give a faded image of something, and say they'll release it on October 22. Looks like it might be Occupiers. The image looks like tax returns.
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  #36 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2012, 09:57 PM
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Default Re: As it currently stands...

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Originally Posted by Infidel Dog View Post
Want some desperate hope though XCali? I don't know if you would have seen this. I saw it on a right wing blog.

Somebody is promising another "October Surprise". They give a faded image of something, and say they'll release it on October 22. Looks like it might be Occupiers. The image looks like tax returns.
Dan Rather is coming out of forced retirement?
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  #37 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2012, 10:34 PM
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Default Re: As it currently stands...

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Originally Posted by Infidel Dog View Post
Want some desperate hope though XCali? I don't know if you would have seen this. I saw it on a right wing blog.

Somebody is promising another "October Surprise". They give a faded image of something, and say they'll release it on October 22. Looks like it might be Occupiers. The image looks like tax returns.
Sorry but I don't cling to hope, I'm not a Republican remember?... I don't have a single doubt that Obama is going to win a second term, all the polls and noise will continue throughout the next few weeks but at the end of the day when people step into the voting booth on Nov 6th they will not elect a blatant liar who has nothing but the same failed policies of the Bush era to offer. The Democrats will hold the White House, as well as the Senate, and if the ground game gets heated there's a good chance of taking back the house too.

Willards only momentum is coming from the fact that 67 million people tuned into that first debate and most likely it was the first time they had paid attention. Once they get more information and realize that Willard lied through the whole debate and represented Moderate Mitt instead of the Extremist Mitt who has been campaigning for a year they will run from him back to Obama.. Count on it.. take it to the bank and cash it, put it in your pipe and smoke it.. Willard will lose .. Obama 303 to 313 electoral votes... We'll just see how close that is.
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Old 10-19-2012, 10:49 PM
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Default Re: As it currently stands...

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Originally Posted by Xcali View Post
Sorry but I don't cling to hope, I'm not a Republican remember?... I don't have a single doubt that Obama is going to win a second term, all the polls and noise will continue throughout the next few weeks but at the end of the day when people step into the voting booth on Nov 6th they will not elect a blatant liar who has nothing but the same failed policies of the Bush era to offer. The Democrats will hold the White House, as well as the Senate, and if the ground game gets heated there's a good chance of taking back the house too.

Willards only momentum is coming from the fact that 67 million people tuned into that first debate and most likely it was the first time they had paid attention. Once they get more information and realize that Willard lied through the whole debate and represented Moderate Mitt instead of the Extremist Mitt who has been campaigning for a year they will run from him back to Obama.. Count on it.. take it to the bank and cash it, put it in your pipe and smoke it.. Willard will lose .. Obama 303 to 313 electoral votes... We'll just see how close that is.
I seriously look forward to your melt down. That should be epic.
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  #39 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2012, 10:56 PM
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You seriously don't expect him to be here on the day we start referring to President Romney, do you AZM?
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  #40 (permalink)  
Old 10-20-2012, 09:07 AM
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Default Re: As it currently stands...

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Originally Posted by Xcali View Post
This race will ultimately be decided by the electoral college, where Obama has the decided advantage. he's currently leading in Ohio, Colorado, and Iowa... He needs two of those to put him over 270...
A poll out today from Gravis has Romney tied with Obama in Ohio 47-47...



But here's the kicker...It's only tied when you OVERSAMPLE Democrats...



It their poll had a realistic breakdown, Romney would be seen having the lead...
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