Obama's Tired Campaign Needs Victory, New Life:

cnredd · #1 (**permalink**) 05-05-2008, 03:58 PM

Quote:

Right after the Super Tuesday presidential primaries on Feb. 5, Barack Obama's campaign strategists projected the outcome of every subsequent election. Of the 18 primaries and caucuses held since then, they were right on 17, missing only Maine, where Obama won a squeaker.

These strategists were so good that they even correctly called the vast majority of the 128 congressional districts that were in play within the states. The internal document -- whose lead author was chief delegate hunter Jeff Berman -- also shows they have been almost dead-on in delegate counts. They have run circles around Hillary Clinton's team.

Whether this is political genius or a mere footnote to history may depend on whether the winning streak continues this week; that Feb. 8 document predicted Obama victories in Indiana and North Carolina.

If Obama wins those contests on May 6, the Democratic nomination will be over. There are scores of so-called superdelegates waiting to embrace the Illinois senator. Victories in the two states will open the gates, even Clinton supporters acknowledge privately.

Conversely, if Senator Clinton, 60, of New York wins in both states, that would take the odds of an Obama nomination from near certain to merely even.

If as the polls, and conventional wisdom, suggest, Obama, 46, wins North Carolina and Clinton captures Indiana, the long slog will continue. Although Obama will remain the favorite to win the nomination, he may appear weakened when he runs in the general election against Republican John McCain.

Just a regular commentary....

BUT...

I find this part exceptionally stupid...Maybe you can figure it out...

Quote:

Elements of Racism

Likewise, in the industrial towns of western Pennsylvania, like Johnstown, home of U.S. Representative John Murtha, a powerful Clinton supporter, Obama lost not by the eight-point margin his team had anticipated, but by 46 points.

There may have been some element of racism among these culturally conservative voters, who support Democrats if they think the politician is strong and empathetic toward their struggles; Obama appeared neither.

This makes his camp nervous about this week. In the Feb. 8 document, his team projected four-point Obama victories in two Indiana districts; the overwhelmingly white 8th district bordering on Illinois, and the 3rd, a middle- and working-class area of northern Indiana.

Look at the bolded part ...Now try to wrap your head about it...

Is it just me or did the author just say "If you are the kind of person who believes Barack Obama does not appear strong and empathetic to your struggles, than you are a racist."?...

That's what it looks like to me...

foundit66 · #2 (**permalink**) 05-07-2008, 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cnredd

I find this part exceptionally stupid...Maybe you can figure it out...

Look at the bolded part ...Now try to wrap your head about it...

Is it just me or did the author just say "If you are the kind of person who believes Barack Obama does not appear strong and empathetic to your struggles, than you are a racist."?...

That's what it looks like to me...

There may have been some element of racism among these culturally conservative voters, who support Democrats if they think the politician is strong and empathetic toward their struggles; Obama appeared neither.

Talk about a torturous sentence.
Quite frankly, it seems to contradict itself, in my interpretation.

"There may have been some element of racism among these culturally conservative voters..."
That, in and of itself, is pretty cut and dried. Not sure any other way to interpret that.

...culturally conservative voters, who support Democrats if they think the politician is strong and empathetic toward their struggles...
Saying that these voters will support a democrat IF the politician is strong and empathetic towards their struggles.
(I feel like I'm back in English class dissecting a sentence...)

...; Obama appeared neither (strong and empathetic toward their struggles)
Saying Obama appears to be neither "strong" nor "empathetic toward their struggles".

But wait a minute. The earlier clause seemed to indicate that they can support democrats IF they meet these two qualities that are supposedly lacking in Obama.
Right?

So the sentence automatically gives ANOTHER REASON WHY these specific voters may not vote for Obama, beyond "racism".

But that first clause is cut and dried. Allegations of "may have been some element of racism".
Why say that if you're about to explain another reason why these voters may not support Obama?

My interpretation? Author gets a D.

cnredd · #3 (**permalink**) 05-07-2008, 03:37 PM

Maybe we should start a Political Wrinkles magazine since the media's authors can't get it done...

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