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Entertainment, Music & Sports Discuss Super Bowl Bets at the General Discussion; Originally Posted by saltwn I don't know if you guys heard them but on the CBS pre-game they were talking ...

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Old 02-07-2010, 02:24 PM
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Default Re: Super Bowl Bets

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Originally Posted by saltwn View Post
I don't know if you guys heard them but on the CBS pre-game they were talking about whoever wins the coin toss in over time pretty much wins the game. Some are calling for a rule change there.
Anyhoo,


GO Saints!
GO COLT's... I agree OT should have a set period of time and not sudden death...
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Old 02-07-2010, 02:28 PM
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Default Re: Super Bowl Bets

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The odds change when the coin is tossed in fact by which side was up before the toss. Thats why one team calls it before the Ref even puts in in position B-4 the toss.
I saw that on True TV, Not Reality But Actually..

Try it. 10 tosses in which the coin is showing heads. Then ten tosses with tails up. Then don't look at which side is up and toss it. Niow it must hit the ground each time.

But I do think it is a 50 50 chance myself... So I shall try it and see. Will get back to you, right here...
Ok I used a one ounce gold coin. 10 trys on heads. Which came out with 6 heads and 4 tails.

Then ten tosses which tail were up and did better, 7 tails and 3 heads... So the odds are better than 50% if one knows the coins position B-4 the toss and call.

Anyone want to try this scientific test. LOOOOOL
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Old 02-07-2010, 02:33 PM
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Default Re: Super Bowl Bets

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Originally Posted by mlurp View Post
Ok I used a one ounce gold coin. 10 trys on heads. Which came out with 6 heads and 4 tails.

Then ten tosses which tail were up and did better, 7 tails and 3 heads... So the odds are better than 50% if one knows the coins position B-4 the toss and call.

Anyone want to try this scientific test. LOOOOOL
Thanks. We used to do that when we were kids (shows how bored we were.)
Tails is always the better call IMO.
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Old 02-07-2010, 02:38 PM
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Default Re: Super Bowl Bets

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Originally Posted by mlurp View Post
The odds change when the coin is tossed in fact by which side was up before the toss. Thats why one team calls it before the Ref even puts in in position B-4 the toss.
I saw that on True TV, Not Reality But Actually..

Try it. 10 tosses in which the coin is showing heads. Then ten tosses with tails up. Then don't look at which side is up and toss it. Niow it must hit the ground each time.

But I do think it is a 50 50 chance myself... So I shall try it and see. Will get back to you, right here...
It's 50/50, as long as no bias in introduced either by the coin or by the flipping method.

Also, ya need to flip it enough times to give you a decent confidence level (the formula escapes me at the moment) - you could flip it 30 times and get 30 heads in a row - tain't likely though.

Flip it 100 times and maybe between now and then I'll get the confidence level formula!
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Old 02-07-2010, 02:42 PM
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Default Re: Super Bowl Bets

I guess I should take into consideration quarters have changed over the years - I forgot that one.
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Old 02-07-2010, 03:20 PM
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Default Re: Super Bowl Bets

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It's 50/50, as long as no bias in introduced either by the coin or by the flipping method.

Also, ya need to flip it enough times to give you a decent confidence level (the formula escapes me at the moment) - you could flip it 30 times and get 30 heads in a row - tain't likely though.

Flip it 100 times and maybe between now and then I'll get the confidence level formula!
My aching bottom... you do it... The results have been posted.. Want me to do it again?
If I do I bet it will be about the same..

But in the mean time you try it just to raise your confidence level...
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Old 02-07-2010, 03:30 PM
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Default Re: Super Bowl Bets

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My aching bottom... you do it... The results have been posted.. Want me to do it again?
If I do I bet it will be about the same..

But in the mean time you try it just to raise your confidence level...
Heads: 7 times. 3 tails...

Tails: 5 times heads 5 times.. Still not 50 %...

I used another gold one ounce coin. Which I have on hand is 100 of the gold one dollar coins you can get at any bank...


Now you or anyone else can do it...
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Old 02-07-2010, 03:32 PM
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Default Re: Super Bowl Bets

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I guess I should take into consideration quarters have changed over the years - I forgot that one.
As all our coins have changed, for the cheaper, I might add.

But they don't use any coin at the Super Bowl or in any game.

Quote:
Digest of Rules Main A Link at the site


Coin Toss
The toss of coin will take place within three minutes of kickoff in center of field. The toss will be called by the visiting captain before the coin is flipped. The winner may choose one of two privileges and the loser gets the other:
(a) Receive or kick
(b) Goal his team will defend
Immediately prior to the start of the second half, the captains of both teams must inform the officials of their respective choices. The loser of the original coin toss gets first choice.
http://www.nfl.com/rulebook/cointoss

And more at: http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&r...n+toss&spell=1
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Old 02-07-2010, 04:13 PM
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Wink Re: Super Bowl Bets

Quote:
Originally Posted by mlurp View Post
Ok I used a one ounce gold coin. 10 trys on heads. Which came out with 6 heads and 4 tails.

Then ten tosses which tail were up and did better, 7 tails and 3 heads... So the odds are better than 50% if one knows the coins position B-4 the toss and call.

Anyone want to try this scientific test. LOOOOOL

What were the ODDS of Janet Jackson having "FALLOUT"?? Will the WHO need CPR before they are done? Are they qualified for the *SCOOTER* or the HUV A ROUND chair??
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Old 02-07-2010, 04:51 PM
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Default Re: Super Bowl Bets

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Originally Posted by mlurp View Post
My aching bottom... you do it... The results have been posted.. Want me to do it again?
If I do I bet it will be about the same..

But in the mean time you try it just to raise your confidence level...
Okay...flip a (fair) coin 6 times - here are your odds:

6 heads: 1/64

6 tails: 1/64 (and since the odds are the same for either heads or tails with a fair coin I'll just concentrate on heads now)

5 heads: 6/64

4 heads: 15/64

3 heads: 20/64

2 heads: 15/64

1 head: 6/64

Total possibilities: 64/64.

The point is that you're not guaranteed to get 32 heads or tails out of 64 flips - ya gotta do it enough times to maximize the chances of getting the true probability.
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