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Elections Discuss Senate races to watch in November at the Political Forums; Originally Posted by cnredd Democrats usually do better in non-presidential years... This will not be one of them...Trump won the ...

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Old 04-19-2020, 12:23 PM
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Default Re: Senate races to watch in November

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Originally Posted by cnredd View Post
Democrats usually do better in non-presidential years...

This will not be one of them...Trump won the state in 2016 48.08% to 44.58%...McSally should have more wind in her sails than 2018...
Problem is Trump also is trailing in the polls in Arizona. In fact Biden is leading by a bigger average there than in Wisconsin (4.4 vs 2.7). There isn't much wind in those sails right now, and with McSally being an appointed incumbent down by 8 she needs all the help she can get. Plus she's getting trounced in the fundraising department.

I think I'm justified in characterizing it as Lean Dem for the time being. The state is probably still purple, but this election is looking really iffy for the Republicans this time around.
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Old 04-19-2020, 02:47 PM
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Default Re: Senate races to watch in November

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Problem is Trump also is trailing in the polls in Arizona. In fact Biden is leading by a bigger average there than in Wisconsin (4.4 vs 2.7). There isn't much wind in those sails right now, and with McSally being an appointed incumbent down by 8 she needs all the help she can get. Plus she's getting trounced in the fundraising department.

I think I'm justified in characterizing it as Lean Dem for the time being. The state is probably still purple, but this election is looking really iffy for the Republicans this time around.
The problem with Trump is that Trump has turned the narrative of "The problem with Trump" on it's head...You could've given me 35 "problems with Trump" in November, 2016 and you would've said "So much for those 35 problems with Trump" in December 2016...
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