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Elections Discuss West Virginia Senate Primaries at the Political Forums; Many believe Machin's seat is in jeopardy...Trump won WV 68.5% to 26.4% Manchin won his primary easily...Trump didn't endorse either ...

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Old 05-08-2018, 11:34 PM
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Default West Virginia Senate Primaries



Many believe Machin's seat is in jeopardy...Trump won WV 68.5% to 26.4%

Manchin won his primary easily...Trump didn't endorse either of the top two Republicans, but he did cut an ad saying not to vote for Blankenship and he came in third...Trump will probably officially endorse Morrisey...

About 24K more votes were in the Dem primary, but the total for both primaries (just short of 200K) doesn't come close to the total for the 2016 presidential election (about 678K), so the primary turnout doesn't reveal much.

In Manchin's 2012 Democrat primary, he got over 163K votes, so it looks like enthusiasm is down....but its also "just" the primary...

Not much to tell here...which means the media will do everything it can to make sure Manchin's seat is safe...
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Old 05-09-2018, 12:53 AM
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Default Re: West Virginia Senate Primaries

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Originally Posted by cnredd View Post


Many believe Machin's seat is in jeopardy...Trump won WV 68.5% to 26.4%

Manchin won his primary easily...Trump didn't endorse either of the top two Republicans, but he did cut an ad saying not to vote for Blankenship and he came in third...Trump will probably officially endorse Morrisey...
Blankenship was a Roy Moore level of toxic for Republicans. Dude went to prison for conspiring to willfully violate federal mine safety and health standards, after one his mines exploded, killing 29 coal miners. Also his ads were strange and surreal to say the least.

Quote:
Originally Posted by cnredd View Post
About 24K more votes were in the Dem primary, but the total for both primaries (just short of 200K) doesn't come close to the total for the 2016 presidential election (about 678K), so the primary turnout doesn't reveal much.

In Manchin's 2012 Democrat primary, he got over 163K votes, so it looks like enthusiasm is down....but its also "just" the primary...

Not much to tell here...which means the media will do everything it can to make sure Manchin's seat is safe...
Midterm turnout is always lower than presidential turnout.

And remember that Manchin easily won re-election in 2012 by 24 points, (60.5-36.5), even though Romney spanked Obama in WV, 62.3-35.5.
He won't be an easy incumbent to beat, especially in the current environment. If this were 2014 he'd be quite more vulnerable. I feel like Jenkins would have been the strongest candidate against him.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United...2012#Results_2
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