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Elections Discuss Final election predictions at the Political Forums; Originally Posted by Oftencold So, when a rapist pins you to the ground, at what point do your eyes open ...

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Old 11-08-2012, 08:12 AM
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Default Re: Final election predictions

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Originally Posted by Oftencold View Post
So, when a rapist pins you to the ground, at what point do your eyes open and begin cooperating? A crude metaphor true, but effective for the attentive.
So you equate compromise with the President as being raped... how cute.
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Old 11-08-2012, 12:40 PM
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Default Re: Final election predictions

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Originally Posted by Xcali View Post
So you equate compromise with the President as being raped... how cute.
that's because it's not legitimate rape....


it's a Republican thing I think
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Old 11-09-2012, 12:09 AM
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Default Re: Final election predictions

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Originally Posted by Infidel Dog View Post
In any case what I claimed was if those of us are proven correct who believe these polls for this election have been skewed, Nate Silver will be shown to be a joke.

Silver's model requires the polls to perform for it to perform. If the polls are bad, Silver's model is bad. My point is, I and others believe this election the polls are bad. They have been badly skewed for a Democrat bias, and, or badly weighted.
Can we frame this somewhere? I say this because Silver's final electoral map, the night before the election, nailed all 50 states. The state polls weren't skewed, Florida's actually titled slightly towards Romney. BUT, Nate Silver's numbers model showed Obama with a slightly better chance for victory in FL than Romney. It's still not called, but Obama is ahead by over 50,000 votes and the last counts are in Democratic territory.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
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Old 11-11-2012, 09:48 AM
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Default Re: Final election predictions

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Originally Posted by WallyWager View Post
Can we frame this somewhere? I say this because Silver's final electoral map, the night before the election, nailed all 50 states. The state polls weren't skewed, Florida's actually titled slightly towards Romney. BUT, Nate Silver's numbers model showed Obama with a slightly better chance for victory in FL than Romney. It's still not called, but Obama is ahead by over 50,000 votes and the last counts are in Democratic territory.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
Yep.. And they finally called it.. Nate Silver picked all 50 states and all but one Senate race. He missed in Montana, he had Tester losing in a close one ...

Turns out the Polls were correct, Nate Silver was 99.9% correct, and Willard is shell shocked. His internal pollsters led him to believe the mythological skewed poll theory so he was in total shock when reality slapped him in the face.

Nate's book hit number 2 on Amazon shortly after the election was over.. I'm betting the increase in sales was heavily weighted to the Republican Party.....
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