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Elections Discuss Gallup on the composition of the electorate at the Political Forums; Dick Morris has some interesting observations, courtesy of George Gallup, as regarding the likely composition of the 2012 electorate: In ...

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Old 10-29-2012, 01:26 PM
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Default Gallup on the composition of the electorate

Dick Morris has some interesting observations, courtesy of George Gallup, as regarding the likely composition of the 2012 electorate:

Quote:
In a large sample, very important survey, Gallup reported on Friday that the likely 2012 electorate will be among the most Republican in history.

In 2008, 12 percent more self-described Democrats voted than Republicans (54-42). In 2004, the electorate was 48-48 evenly split between the parties. In Gallupís poll, they found that in 2012 it will be 46-49 for the Republicans ó a fifteen point swing from 2008!

The reason most other polls are wrong is that, seeing this Republican surge, they discount it as sampling error in their polls and re-weight the data to make it conform to the traditional partisan divisions, thus obliterating the real trend and obscuring what is actually going on.

The fact is that the country has moved sharply in the direction of the Republican Party since 2008 and even since 2010.
Here is the link: Dickmorris.com
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Old 10-29-2012, 01:41 PM
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Default Re: Gallup on the composition of the electorate

The pollsters that have been oversampling Democrats based on 2008 are forgetting (intentionally) that SINCE then, there was this thing called "The Tea Party"....

The Left has always demonized them, but now they're trying to create a narrative that they don't even exist and 2010 was just a figment of our imaginations...
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Old 10-29-2012, 08:30 PM
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Default Re: Gallup on the composition of the electorate

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Originally Posted by cnredd View Post
The pollsters that have been oversampling Democrats based on 2008 are forgetting (intentionally) that SINCE then, there was this thing called "The Tea Party"....

The Left has always demonized them, but now they're trying to create a narrative that they don't even exist and 2010 was just a figment of our imaginations...
I really dislike the way you characterize the two sides, left and right. Don't you think we're all more complex than these stereotypes?
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Old 10-29-2012, 08:56 PM
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Default Re: Gallup on the composition of the electorate

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Originally Posted by sky dancer View Post
I really dislike the way you characterize the two sides, left and right. Don't you think we're all more complex than these stereotypes?
Why is it the far left is always the first to complain about partisanship when anything is shown not to be in their favor?
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Old 10-29-2012, 11:26 PM
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Default Re: Gallup on the composition of the electorate

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Originally Posted by AzMike View Post
Why is it the far left is always the first to complain about partisanship when anything is shown not to be in their favor?
Because Liberals are always victims. It gives them an excuse for all the whining they are always doing.
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Old 10-29-2012, 11:49 PM
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Default Re: Gallup on the composition of the electorate

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Because Liberals are always victims. It gives them an excuse for all the whining they are always doing.
did your daddy rush tell you to say that? sounds like flux and friends.
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Old 10-29-2012, 11:59 PM
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Default Re: Gallup on the composition of the electorate

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Originally Posted by sky dancer View Post
I really dislike the way you characterize the two sides, left and right. Don't you think we're all more complex than these stereotypes?
So far you've confirmed the stereotype.
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Old 10-30-2012, 12:08 AM
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Default Re: Gallup on the composition of the electorate

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Because Liberals are always victims. It gives them an excuse for all the whining they are always doing.
I think that is absolutely true.
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