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Climate Change & The Environment Discuss Green Jobs Myth - An Example at the General Discussion; Originally Posted by faithful_servant Solar doesn't work because it's not consistent and the manufacturing techniques are firggin' ugly. The key ...

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Old 01-31-2011, 02:50 PM
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Originally Posted by faithful_servant View Post
Solar doesn't work because it's not consistent and the manufacturing techniques are firggin' ugly. The key component gallium arsenide is NASTY to extract and process.
And another problem with solar, or at least the future of solar, and other white elephant, green technologies is the requirement of rare earth metals. It doesn't get enough attention.

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Tantalum is used in cell phones, while antimony is a common flame retardant, and indium is part of LCD TVs. These elements along with better-known ones such as copper, zinc, silver, and platinum, are relatively rare in our world, and our high tech gadgets are using them up at alarming rates. For instance, in January 2003 indium was selling for around $60 per kilogram, whereas August 2006 it was valued at over $1000 per kilogram. Rare but needed for green These "rare earth elements," as they are called, are also used in many new green technologies. Indium combined with gallium is a key component of futuristic new solar panels. Hybrid vehicle batteries and compact fluorescent lightbulbs could not function without rare earth elements.
Rare earth elements on the endangered list | Energy | Green Living

So we're running out of rare earth elements, and they're needed for other technologies - not just green. Here's another problem with that.

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If you haven't heard any of the fuss over rare earth metals in the past year, the concern is that China, which currently produces 96 percent of these crucial minerals, is increasing restrictions on their distribution. This morning, Businessweek reported that China's Ministry of Finance said they plan to raise the export tax for some elements to 25 percent, beginning in 2011. And just yesterday, perhaps coincidentally, the DoE released a "Critical Materials Strategy" report, which took a look at the supply risk of 14 elements, and six rare earth metals - dysprosium, neodymium, terbium, europium, yttrium and indium - considered of critical importance to clean energy technologies.
What ?rare earth? metals mean to renewable energy

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Old 01-31-2011, 03:43 PM
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Default Re: Green Jobs Myth - An Example

Thanks for this post. Today's world has made many people to be aware of green jobs. The risk is that scams may also be involved.
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Old 01-31-2011, 03:58 PM
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Default Re: Green Jobs Myth - An Example

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Originally Posted by faithful_servant View Post
Solar doesn't work because it's not consistent and the manufacturing techniques are firggin' ugly. The key component gallium arsenide is NASTY to extract and process.

Geo-therm is a pretty good concept, but the number of locations where it can be used effectively are pretty limited. They have a really good spot in my neck of the woods that eco-nuts have been stopping for about the last 10-15 years.

BTW - You completely evaded my question. Instead of showing us where green jobs are becoming sustainable on thier own, you divert the discussion to unsuported accusations. How about it, Mikeyy, care to actaully answer the question or do yo intend to simply continue the divert and distract tactics??
Wind. And I have used solar for years. It doesn't have to be active all the time to save billions in water heating and home heating.
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Old 01-31-2011, 04:31 PM
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Wind? You must be joking. Maybe if you could harness the hot air from wind promoters. Other than that, there's lots of evidence wind can't survive without hefty subsidies (dwarfing oil), or regulatory and tax breaks. Overall it doesn't make economic, or even environmental sense.

T Boone Pickens backed off his much publicized pie in the sky, wind energy claims. When it came time to buck up he had to admit he couldn't make money on wind.

Pickens Plan no longer features wind energy - Business - Oil & energy - Going Green - msnbc.com

The sometimes ballyhooed wind energy of Denmark is a job killing, shell game that skyrockets the price of electricity, and doesn't actually make money.

http://www.cepos.dk/fileadmin/user_u...of_Denmark.pdf

They tried to move to wind in Minnesota. Problem was the wind turbines wouldn't work in cold weather.

Minnesota wind turbines won’t work in cold weather Hot Air

You run into more problems with wind when you start asking where are you going to put the wind farms, and where are you going to get the money for the mind-boggling expensive, yet required new electricity grid to customers.

Green.view: Mission: Transmission | The Economist

There is of course an argument. I've heard it.

Climate Progress's Romm Responds Unkindly to NewsBusters | NewsBusters.org

If I'm judging that debate your side not only loses, it looks silly.

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Old 01-31-2011, 05:10 PM
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Wind? You must be joking. Maybe if you could harness the hot air from wind promoters. Other than that, there's lots of evidence wind can't survive without hefty subsidies (dwarfing oil), or regulatory and tax breaks. Overall it doesn't make economic, or even environmental sense.

T Boone Pickens backed off his much publicized pie in the sky, wind energy claims. When it came time to buck up he had to admit he couldn't make money on wind.

Pickens Plan no longer features wind energy - Business - Oil & energy - Going Green - msnbc.com

The sometimes ballyhooed wind energy of Denmark is a job killing, shell game that skyrockets the price of electricity, and doesn't actually make money.

http://www.cepos.dk/fileadmin/user_u...of_Denmark.pdf

They tried to move to wind in Minnesota. Problem was the wind turbines wouldn't work in cold weather.

Minnesota wind turbines won’t work in cold weather Hot Air

You run into more problems with wind when you start asking where are you going to put the wind farms, and where are you going to get the money for the mind-boggling expensive, yet required new electricity grid to customers.

Green.view: Mission: Transmission | The Economist

There is of course an argument. I've heard it.

Climate Progress's Romm Responds Unkindly to NewsBusters | NewsBusters.org

If I'm judging that debate your side not only loses, it looks silly.
Yes there is no way to use wind. I guess windmills don't work. What the hell were people thinking all these years putting the damn things up? I think most farmers use them to pump water. Better tell them they don't work. I use solar for water heating. I guess it's just my imagination that it works. Guess you have never heard of Geothermal heating and cooling pumps. Again this works to reduce or replace A/C. Hydroelectric seems to work too. Tidel systems can provide energy. You want to show some bad examples and leave it at that. But you would be wrong.
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Old 01-31-2011, 05:57 PM
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Default Re: Green Jobs Myth - An Example

Sure, they work. The problem is they're not economically viable on any kind of large scale. Their functionality depends on environmental cooperation, you need to build a new grid just to get the spurts they put out, and because they need to be augmented with fossil fuel energy, they may not even be that environmentally productive. At present "Green Jobs" from wind, or solar in a way they can pay for themselves are a myth. You're putting more money out than you're taking in, and it's government money. You might as well just pay welfare. Plus, as the Spanish study showed, you lose 2 real jobs for every welfare green job you create. Plus a lot of those jobs are temporary.
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Old 01-31-2011, 06:55 PM
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Default Re: Green Jobs Myth - An Example

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Originally Posted by Mikeyy View Post
Wind. And I have used solar for years. It doesn't have to be active all the time to save billions in water heating and home heating.
I have repeatedly stated that solar water heaters are a great thing....
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Old 01-31-2011, 07:11 PM
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Default Re: Green Jobs Myth - An Example

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All you do is to show examples of things done badly and then say "See" it can't be done right. I am trying to think of how many things that would never have been done if we based all of our attempts on the worst examples. We wouldn't fly in planes because early planes crashed. Or go into space. Or explore new lands. I mean almost everything we ever have done in the history of mankind has been at the risk of failure. We are in compitition with countries that are funding research in green technologies. You want to lose that race because you have shown an example of something done badly? If not what is the point. And if you don't like this way which way do you like?
Specific examples would be the automobile industry.

The same people were saying that seatbelts, smog control and fuel mileage would cost too much........and wouldn't work.

Well..........they were wrong.

It's also easy to point at any fledgling industry and say it won't work, before economy of scale kicks in.

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Old 02-01-2011, 12:39 AM
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Default Re: Green Jobs Myth - An Example

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It's also easy to point at any fledgling industry and say it won't work, before economy of scale kicks in.
Economics lesson time.

The economy of scale only works on a profitable product and is incremental in it's application and benefits to the bottom line.

If you sell an item for a dollar and it costs .90 to create that product then you may be able to benefit from scaling up if the demand remains proportionate. That means you may be able to double your production and decrease the cost to .85 per unit. Since materials have a specific cost of obtaining them that doesn't mean you can double your production again and save another .05. You will be lucky to drop it another .01 or .02 but the supplier will determine that possibility as they won't go in the red just to sell you a lot more stuff really cheap. Because after all the economy of scale only works if there is a profit.

Now let's take that same product and say it costs 1.10 to make and sells for 1.00. You double the production and maybe your supplier saves you the same .05 so now you are losing .15 instead of .20 but you are still losing money.

Economy of scale is a myth in green energy right now. You MUST have a profitable product before you can make it more profitable. You can NEVER make a loser profitable by doubling down.
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Old 02-01-2011, 07:45 AM
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Economics lesson time.

The economy of scale only works on a profitable product and is incremental in it's application and benefits to the bottom line.

If you sell an item for a dollar and it costs .90 to create that product then you may be able to benefit from scaling up if the demand remains proportionate. That means you may be able to double your production and decrease the cost to .85 per unit. Since materials have a specific cost of obtaining them that doesn't mean you can double your production again and save another .05. You will be lucky to drop it another .01 or .02 but the supplier will determine that possibility as they won't go in the red just to sell you a lot more stuff really cheap. Because after all the economy of scale only works if there is a profit.

Now let's take that same product and say it costs 1.10 to make and sells for 1.00. You double the production and maybe your supplier saves you the same .05 so now you are losing .15 instead of .20 but you are still losing money.

Economy of scale is a myth in green energy right now. You MUST have a profitable product before you can make it more profitable. You can NEVER make a loser profitable by doubling down.
Thanks for the attempt at the economy lesson, but your assumptions are rife with holes.

You have totally ignored fixed costs, which are just that.....fixed.

As quantity increases, fixed costs stay generally the same...or are just marginally increased.

The economics of putting solar on a house, do not equate to a solar field supplying vastly more power.

Admittedly, Green still has along way to go....... both in scale and technology.

Just look at the computer industry 20 years ago, to get a clue of the potential.

If your attitude was prevalent back then, Moore would have had no basis for making his "law."


You can find a little more info here.

Economy Of Scale (click here)

Quote:
Economies of scale, in microeconomics, refers to the cost advantages that a business obtains due to expansion. There are factors that cause a producer’s average cost per unit to fall as the scale of output is increased. "Economies of scale" is a long run concept and refers to reductions in unit cost as the size of a facility and the usage levels of other inputs increase.[1] Diseconomies of scale are the opposite. The common sources of economies of scale are purchasing (bulk buying of materials through long-term contracts), managerial (increasing the specialization of managers), financial (obtaining lower-interest charges when borrowing from banks and having access to a greater range of financial instruments), marketing (spreading the cost of advertising over a greater range of output in media markets), and technological (taking advantage of returns to scale in the production function). Each of these factors reduces the long run average costs (LRAC) of production by shifting the short-run average total cost (SRATC) curve down and to the right. Economies of scale are also derived partially from learning by doing.
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