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Old 02-28-2018, 12:14 PM
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Default Re: *** Trump approval rating now up to 50%

Quote:
Originally Posted by cnredd View Post
The New York Times gave Hillary a 93% chance to win Wisconsin...

Pennsylvania?...89%

Michigan?...94%

Before the election, the Left had these states as "In Hillary's back pantsuit pocket"...

It wasn't until she lost all three tat the Left started saying "We'll call them `swing states` NOW!!!!"...
Probability estimates aren't polls. Nice try.

Fact is just looking at Pennsylvania, polling was well within the margin of error by election day.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...tein-5964.html

It was further out in Michigan, but Trump was gaining ground and the final poll had him up by 2.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...tein-6008.html

Wisconsin was the only one of the three that was way off.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...tein-5976.html

But there also wasn't a whole lot of polling done just before the day. You can miss a swing in momentum when you don't look.

IOW the myth about the about all the polls being super-off is still a myth.

"Fake news" in your troupe's language I believe.
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